Talk:LCP Claim Ticket/@comment-5432734-20121222060322/@comment-5428123-20121222075824

It's not as mysterious as you might think. Let's say for example that the Ultra Rare draw rate on any given LCP ticket is 0.1%. Now assume that there are a million players in the game. If one million users each used one LCP ticket at once, and the Ultra Rare draws followed probability perfectly, you would have 100,000 Ultra Rares drawn at once.

Thus, even though the odds of actually drawing an Ultra Rare are ridiculously low for any given individual, the chance of one being pulled out of all the people using LCP tickets is quite high.

Of course, I haven't taken into account the fact that some people are heavy spenders and some don't spend at all. As well, even though there may be a million users in the game, not every user will invest the same amount of time into getting LCP tickets through events and such.

My point though, is that because there are so many people playing and drawing LCP tickets every second, you're bound to have a few lucky individuals getting and Ultra Rare. The fact that you only see a few Ultras being drawn every few minutes shows that the LCP stacks the odd against you.